文章摘要

血清MMP-2,AFP与MELD评分对HBV相关慢加急性肝衰竭患者预后的评估价值

作者: 1杨君, 2黄洋辉
1 巴中市中医医院内一科,四川 巴中 636000
2 成都大学附属医院急诊科,成都 610081
通讯: 杨君 Email: congyameituzhan@163.com
DOI: 10.3978/j.issn.2095-6959.2019.08.006

摘要

目的:探讨基质金属蛋白酶-2(matrix metalloproteinase-2,MMP-2)、甲胎蛋白(alpha fetoprotein,AFP)水平与终末期肝病模型(model for end-stage liver disease,MELD)评分对HBV相关慢加急性肝衰竭(HBV-related acute on chronic liver failure,HBV-ACLF)患者预后评估价值。方法:根据患者临床转归情况将90例HBV-ACLF患者分为生存组和死亡组。比较两组患者血清MMP-2,AFP水平与MELD评分差异,logistic回归分析各指标与患者预后的关系,分析MMP-2、AFP水平与MELD评分对HBV-ACLF患者预后的评估价值。结果:死亡组血清MMP-2水平及MELD评分均高于生存组,而血清AFP水平则显著低于生存组(P<0.05)。血清MMP-2水平和MELD评分升高、AFP水平下降是导致HBV-ACLF患者病死率的重要因素(P<0.05)。HBV-ACLF患者血清AFP水平与MMP-2水平、MELD评分均呈负相关,而MMP-2水平与MELD评分则呈正相关(P<0.05)。MMP-2,AFP水平及MELD评分预测HBV-ACLF患者近期预后的ROC曲线下面积分别为0.832,0.846,0.858。MMP-2,AFP水平及MELD评分联合检测的预测敏感度显著高于单独检测(P<0.05);而联合检测的特异度较单独检测无统计学差异(P>0.05)。结论:血清MMP-2,AFP水平及MELD评分是影响HBV-ACLF患者预后的重要危险因素,可作为评估患者预后转归的参考依据。
关键词: 慢加急性肝衰竭;基质金属蛋白酶-2;甲胎蛋白;终末期肝病模型

Value of serum MMP-2, AFP and MELD score in prognosis assessment of patients with HBV-related acute on chronic liver failure

Authors: 1YANG Jun, 2HUANG Yanghui
1 First Department of Internal Medicine, Bazhong Traditional Chinese Medicine Hospital, Bazhong Sichuan 636000, China
2 Emergency Department, Affiliated Hospital of Chengdu University, Chengdu 610081, China

CorrespondingAuthor: YANG Jun Email: congyameituzhan@163.com

DOI: 10.3978/j.issn.2095-6959.2019.08.006

Abstract

Objective: To investigate the value of serum matrix metalloproteinase-2 (MMP-2), alpha fetoprotein (AFP) and model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score in prognosis assessment of patients with HBV-related acute on chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF). Methods: Clinical data of 90 HBV-ACLF patients were collected. The patients were divided into a survival group and a death group according to the clinical outcome. The differences of serum MMP-2 and AFP levels and MELD scores between the 2 groups were compared. Logistic regression analysis of the relationship between the indicators and the prognosis of patients and the prognostic value of MMP-2, AFP level and MELD score in patients with HBV-ACLF were analyzed. Results: The serum MMP-2 level and MELD score of death group were higher than those in the survival group, while the serum AFP level was significantly lower than the survival group (P<0.05). Serum MMP-2 level, AFP level and MELD score were important factors affecting the prognosis of HBV-ACLF patients (P<0.05). Serum AFP level in HBV-ACLF patients was significantly negatively correlated with MMP-2 level and MELD score, while MMP-2 level was positively correlated with MELD score (P<0.05). The area under the ROC curve of MMP-2, AFP level and MELD score predicting the short-term prognosis of HBV-ACLF patients was 0.832, 0.846 and 0.858, respectively. The predictive sensitivity of combined test of MMP-2, AFP level and MELD score was significantly higher than single test (P<0.05), while the specificity of combined test was not statistically different from single test (P>0.05). Conclusion: Serum MMP-2, AFP level and MELD score are important risk factors affecting the prognosis of HBV-ACLF patients. The detection of these indicators is helpful to evaluate the prognosis of patients.
Keywords: acute on chronic liver failure; matrix metalloproteinase-2; alpha fetoprotein; model for end-stage liver disease

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